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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+8.76vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+7.88vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+6.64vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.21+3.66vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.25+5.45vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.68+0.99vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.08-0.22vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24+2.02vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14+0.88vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-4.36vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.07-3.86vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.31-1.75vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-4.67vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.95-3.34vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.25-5.91vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.54-2.85vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.13-2.91vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.94-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.76University of South Florida1.095.1%1st Place
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9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.304.7%1st Place
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9.64North Carolina State University1.264.0%1st Place
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7.66Tulane University2.218.0%1st Place
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10.45Tufts University1.253.5%1st Place
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6.99Cornell University1.688.6%1st Place
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6.78Stanford University2.0810.3%1st Place
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10.02George Washington University1.243.7%1st Place
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9.88Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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5.64Georgetown University2.2014.1%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.079.2%1st Place
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10.25University of Vermont1.313.6%1st Place
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8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.5%1st Place
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10.66Old Dominion University0.953.4%1st Place
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9.09Roger Williams University1.255.5%1st Place
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13.15Fordham University0.541.8%1st Place
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14.09SUNY Maritime College0.131.2%1st Place
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11.6University of Wisconsin0.942.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Ella Withington | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 14.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Grace Gear | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 21.8% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 31.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.