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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.65+0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.11+0.54vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.18+1.18vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.78-0.99vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.76-1.84vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.85-2.96vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.90-4.07vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.98-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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3.66University of Victoria1.650.2%1st Place
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4.54University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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6.18Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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5.01University of British Columbia0.780.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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5.04Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.93Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 34.2% | 23.5% | 18.8% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 15.4% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Kate Flanagan | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Rachael McCrady | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 23.7% | 14.2% |
| Josef Schwan | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 4.4% |
| Austin Sandifer | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 4.3% |
| Jake Fetterman | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 15.0% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.