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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+6.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.25+8.39vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+6.76vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.08+2.75vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+0.59vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.68+1.26vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+1.38vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07-0.76vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+1.01vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.25-0.76vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95-0.69vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.24-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.94-1.68vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.31-3.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-5.05vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.26-6.23vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.13-3.00vs Predicted
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18Fordham University0.54-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Tulane University2.218.2%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University1.254.3%1st Place
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9.76University of South Florida1.094.8%1st Place
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6.75Stanford University2.089.4%1st Place
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5.59Georgetown University2.2012.9%1st Place
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7.26Cornell University1.688.6%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.7%1st Place
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7.24Bowdoin College2.077.9%1st Place
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10.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.304.6%1st Place
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9.24Roger Williams University1.255.1%1st Place
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10.31Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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9.95George Washington University1.244.8%1st Place
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11.32University of Wisconsin0.943.2%1st Place
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10.28University of Vermont1.315.0%1st Place
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9.95Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
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9.77North Carolina State University1.264.1%1st Place
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14.0SUNY Maritime College0.131.1%1st Place
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13.19Fordham University0.542.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ella Withington | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% |
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 31.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.