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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.78+4.15vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.85+3.20vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.25-0.48vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.90-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.76-0.90vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.18-0.73vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria1.65-4.52vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.11-4.50vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.98-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15University of British Columbia0.780.1%1st Place
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5.2Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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4.79Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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6.27Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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3.48University of Victoria1.650.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josef Schwan | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 4.6% |
| Austin Sandifer | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 5.2% |
| Kris Thompson | 34.9% | 23.5% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 7.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 7.0% |
| Rachael McCrady | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 25.7% | 14.2% |
| Reid Cannon | 18.5% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kate Flanagan | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 15.9% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.