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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.65+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.25+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.78+1.41vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.85+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.11-1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon1.55-3.21vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-0.98+0.11vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.90-3.90vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.18-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of Victoria1.650.2%1st Place
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2.82University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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5.41University of British Columbia0.780.1%1st Place
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5.09Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
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8.11University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.1Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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6.41Western Washington University0.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Cannon | 17.2% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Kris Thompson | 28.1% | 22.5% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Josef Schwan | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 5.6% |
| Austin Sandifer | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 3.9% |
| Kate Flanagan | 10.3% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Stephen Moran | 15.9% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 14.5% | 66.7% |
| Jake Fetterman | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 4.9% |
| Rachael McCrady | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 26.5% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.