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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+6.43vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+3.75vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.08+3.68vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+6.11vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26+4.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.25+4.46vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.31+3.50vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24+1.91vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.68-1.68vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07-2.91vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.13+3.10vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.94-0.84vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.25-3.94vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.09-4.30vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-6.54vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-5.39vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.54-3.93vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.14-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Tulane University2.218.6%1st Place
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5.75Georgetown University2.2011.6%1st Place
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6.68Stanford University2.0811.2%1st Place
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10.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.304.0%1st Place
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9.58North Carolina State University1.265.6%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University1.254.4%1st Place
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10.5University of Vermont1.313.8%1st Place
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9.91George Washington University1.243.9%1st Place
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7.32Cornell University1.688.2%1st Place
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7.09Bowdoin College2.079.6%1st Place
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14.1SUNY Maritime College0.131.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Wisconsin0.943.3%1st Place
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9.06Roger Williams University1.255.1%1st Place
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9.7University of South Florida1.094.5%1st Place
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8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.8%1st Place
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10.61Old Dominion University0.953.4%1st Place
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13.07Fordham University0.541.5%1st Place
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10.0Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ella Withington | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Grace Gear | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 32.1% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 7.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 20.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.