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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.87+6.20vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+2.85vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60+5.38vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73+3.35vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.17+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.41+4.49vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University1.47-1.20vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University1.30-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.31+4.81vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.04+1.22vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.20+1.91vs Predicted
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12Rice University0.91-4.70vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.19-2.21vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.27-1.67vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-0.64vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.92-1.22vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-1.40-0.66vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University-0.44-5.23vs Predicted
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19Hope College-0.31-6.34vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-0.41-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2North Carolina State University0.878.0%1st Place
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4.85Jacksonville University1.7014.5%1st Place
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8.38Christopher Newport University0.606.0%1st Place
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7.35Clemson University0.736.8%1st Place
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6.07Eckerd College1.1711.3%1st Place
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10.49University of Texas0.413.2%1st Place
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5.8San Diego State University1.4710.1%1st Place
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6.09Texas A&M University1.3011.2%1st Place
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13.81University of South Florida-0.311.4%1st Place
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11.22University of Virginia0.043.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Central Florida-0.201.9%1st Place
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7.3Rice University0.918.8%1st Place
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10.79Washington College0.193.0%1st Place
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12.33The Citadel-0.272.4%1st Place
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14.36Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.4%1st Place
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14.78University of North Carolina-0.921.2%1st Place
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16.34William and Mary-1.400.6%1st Place
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12.77Michigan State University-0.441.3%1st Place
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12.66Hope College-0.312.3%1st Place
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14.52Arizona State University-0.411.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 14.5% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Aston Smith | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Claire Miller | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| William Mullray | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 11.6% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 31.8% |
| Ryan Dodge | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.