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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.78+3.53vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.65+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon1.55-0.25vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.85+0.06vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.90-1.94vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.18-1.50vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-0.98-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.11-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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5.53University of British Columbia0.780.0%1st Place
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3.69University of Victoria1.650.2%1st Place
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3.75University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
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5.06Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.06Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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6.5Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 31.0% | 24.2% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Josef Schwan | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 6.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 17.3% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Moran | 15.7% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 5.2% |
| Jake Fetterman | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 3.6% |
| Rachael McCrady | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 28.9% | 15.3% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 65.7% |
| Kate Flanagan | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.