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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+6.53vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.68+5.12vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.25+7.34vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.08+2.67vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+0.56vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24+4.19vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.07+0.22vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+2.01vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.25+0.10vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.31+0.42vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.26-1.43vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-2.18vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.09-3.20vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-5.38vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.54-1.89vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-5.42vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.94-5.74vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.13-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Tulane University2.217.2%1st Place
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7.12Cornell University1.688.6%1st Place
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10.34Tufts University1.253.9%1st Place
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6.67Stanford University2.089.2%1st Place
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5.56Georgetown University2.2013.1%1st Place
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10.19George Washington University1.243.7%1st Place
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7.22Bowdoin College2.078.3%1st Place
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10.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.303.5%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University1.255.8%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont1.314.2%1st Place
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9.57North Carolina State University1.265.0%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.145.5%1st Place
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9.8University of South Florida1.095.0%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.2%1st Place
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13.11Fordham University0.542.1%1st Place
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10.58Old Dominion University0.953.8%1st Place
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11.26University of Wisconsin0.943.3%1st Place
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14.08SUNY Maritime College0.131.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.1% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ella Withington | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 21.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.