← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.20+4.66vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.14+7.94vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.08+3.86vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.24+5.97vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University1.68+1.97vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.09+3.88vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.25+3.36vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.07-0.85vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+0.79vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.21-2.46vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-2.31vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.31-1.64vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College0.13+0.92vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin0.94-2.88vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University0.54-1.83vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University1.25-6.75vs Predicted
-
17North Carolina State University1.26-7.36vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University0.95-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.66Georgetown University2.2013.2%1st Place
-
9.94Boston University1.144.1%1st Place
-
6.86Stanford University2.089.8%1st Place
-
9.97George Washington University1.244.2%1st Place
-
6.97Cornell University1.6810.5%1st Place
-
9.88University of South Florida1.094.1%1st Place
-
10.36Tufts University1.253.3%1st Place
-
7.15Bowdoin College2.079.0%1st Place
-
9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.305.5%1st Place
-
7.54Tulane University2.216.8%1st Place
-
8.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.5%1st Place
-
10.36University of Vermont1.314.2%1st Place
-
13.92SUNY Maritime College0.131.5%1st Place
-
11.12University of Wisconsin0.943.8%1st Place
-
13.17Fordham University0.541.5%1st Place
-
9.25Roger Williams University1.254.9%1st Place
-
9.64North Carolina State University1.264.7%1st Place
-
10.73Old Dominion University0.953.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 13.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ella Withington | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 29.7% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 22.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.