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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.65+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.25+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.78+2.21vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.90-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.76-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.11-2.49vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.85-2.98vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-0.98-1.00vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.18-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Victoria1.650.2%1st Place
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2.63University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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5.21University of British Columbia0.780.1%1st Place
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4.79Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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5.02Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
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6.3Western Washington University0.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Cannon | 19.2% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Kris Thompson | 29.9% | 26.5% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Josef Schwan | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 5.4% |
| Jake Fetterman | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 5.4% |
| Kate Flanagan | 12.0% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Austin Sandifer | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 4.3% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 64.5% |
| Rachael McCrady | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 25.5% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.