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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.78+3.35vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.65+0.50vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.85+0.92vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.90-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.11-2.54vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.76-2.80vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.18-2.73vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.98-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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5.35University of British Columbia0.780.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Victoria1.650.2%1st Place
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4.92Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.78Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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6.27Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 33.4% | 25.1% | 17.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Josef Schwan | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 6.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 19.3% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Austin Sandifer | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 2.9% |
| Jake Fetterman | 8.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
| Kate Flanagan | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 4.8% |
| Rachael McCrady | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 23.6% | 16.0% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 16.0% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.