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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.68+6.13vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+8.02vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.24+7.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.25+6.45vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+0.65vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.08+0.81vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.13+6.96vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07-0.78vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.25+0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.94+1.38vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-1.16vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.31-2.80vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.09-4.25vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.95-4.59vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.21-8.34vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.26-7.40vs Predicted
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18Fordham University0.54-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Cornell University1.689.8%1st Place
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10.02Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
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10.05George Washington University1.243.5%1st Place
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10.45Tufts University1.254.3%1st Place
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5.65Georgetown University2.2012.8%1st Place
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6.81Stanford University2.089.4%1st Place
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13.96SUNY Maritime College0.131.7%1st Place
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7.22Bowdoin College2.077.7%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
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11.38University of Wisconsin0.943.1%1st Place
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9.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.305.5%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.5%1st Place
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10.2University of Vermont1.313.8%1st Place
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9.75University of South Florida1.094.5%1st Place
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10.41Old Dominion University0.954.5%1st Place
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7.66Tulane University2.217.7%1st Place
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9.6North Carolina State University1.264.3%1st Place
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13.07Fordham University0.542.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 30.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| Ella Withington | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Grace Gear | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.