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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+6.42vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.26+7.60vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+4.09vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.68+2.81vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+3.90vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.08+0.47vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20-1.52vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+0.40vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.25+1.42vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-0.32vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-1.25vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.24-2.14vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.13+0.63vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.94-2.63vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.95-4.83vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.09-6.51vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.54-4.39vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.13-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Tulane University2.217.8%1st Place
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9.6North Carolina State University1.264.7%1st Place
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7.09Bowdoin College2.078.2%1st Place
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6.81Cornell University1.689.8%1st Place
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8.9Roger Williams University1.255.0%1st Place
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6.47Stanford University2.0810.0%1st Place
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5.48Georgetown University2.2014.2%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.1%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University1.253.5%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.305.0%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.144.7%1st Place
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9.86George Washington University1.244.2%1st Place
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13.63SUNY Maritime College0.131.4%1st Place
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11.37University of Wisconsin0.942.9%1st Place
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10.17Old Dominion University0.953.6%1st Place
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9.49University of South Florida1.095.1%1st Place
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12.61Fordham University0.542.4%1st Place
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13.87University of Vermont-0.131.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Ella Withington | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 23.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 15.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.