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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+5.93vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.24+7.80vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+2.56vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+4.10vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.21+2.50vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.25+2.92vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+2.50vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.68-1.14vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.13+4.71vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.08-3.24vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95-0.63vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.54+0.87vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.94-1.53vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.25-3.64vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.26-5.63vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.14-6.34vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.09-7.48vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.13-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Bowdoin College2.078.9%1st Place
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9.8George Washington University1.244.6%1st Place
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5.56Georgetown University2.2013.5%1st Place
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8.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.1%1st Place
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7.5Tulane University2.218.0%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University1.256.1%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.304.2%1st Place
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6.86Cornell University1.688.7%1st Place
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13.71SUNY Maritime College0.131.7%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University2.089.8%1st Place
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10.37Old Dominion University0.953.9%1st Place
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12.87Fordham University0.541.8%1st Place
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11.47University of Wisconsin0.943.2%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University1.254.2%1st Place
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9.37North Carolina State University1.265.1%1st Place
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9.66Boston University1.144.9%1st Place
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9.52University of South Florida1.093.5%1st Place
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13.74University of Vermont-0.131.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Ella Withington | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 24.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 17.1% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.