← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.16+5.01vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.37+3.34vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.52+1.99vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.56+3.76vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.57-0.04vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.27-0.26vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.28+1.57vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.44-2.81vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University3.52-4.02vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University2.47-1.81vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.58-3.23vs Predicted
-
12Maine Maritime Academy1.55-1.32vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut-0.18+0.69vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College0.24-1.00vs Predicted
-
16Sacred Heart University0.12-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.01Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
-
5.34Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
-
4.99Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
-
7.76Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
-
4.96Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
-
5.74Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
8.57Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
-
5.19Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
-
4.98Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
-
8.19Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
-
7.77University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.68Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
-
13.69University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
-
13.0Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
-
13.12Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urska Kosir | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Colin MURPHY | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 24.0% | 19.2% | 8.9% | 1.6% |
| Shane Baker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 13.8% | 28.4% | 42.9% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 21.7% | 29.7% | 24.3% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 7.9% | 22.2% | 26.8% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.