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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+5.93vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.90+9.29vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+2.61vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+6.13vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.24+5.26vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.21+1.59vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.26+2.61vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+0.70vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.68-1.83vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.95+0.80vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.16-0.58vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-4.86vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-2.92vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.25-4.78vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.94-3.39vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.31-5.37vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.09-7.12vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.13-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Stanford University2.0810.1%1st Place
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11.29Fordham University0.903.3%1st Place
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5.61Georgetown University2.2012.6%1st Place
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10.13Boston University1.145.0%1st Place
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10.26George Washington University1.243.3%1st Place
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7.59Tulane University2.218.2%1st Place
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9.61North Carolina State University1.265.3%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.3%1st Place
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7.17Cornell University1.688.6%1st Place
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10.8Old Dominion University0.953.2%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University1.163.8%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.077.7%1st Place
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10.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.304.7%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University1.254.8%1st Place
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11.61University of Wisconsin0.942.5%1st Place
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10.63University of Vermont1.314.0%1st Place
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9.88University of South Florida1.094.8%1st Place
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13.92SUNY Maritime College0.131.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ella Withington | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.