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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.68+6.26vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.94+9.55vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+6.67vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+6.12vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.90+6.25vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.21+1.58vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+1.72vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.08-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.31+1.75vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.25-0.70vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.16-0.49vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-6.30vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.13+0.97vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.07-6.73vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.24-4.93vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-5.47vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.09-7.14vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.14-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Cornell University1.689.6%1st Place
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11.55University of Wisconsin0.943.0%1st Place
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9.67North Carolina State University1.265.1%1st Place
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10.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.303.5%1st Place
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11.25Fordham University0.903.8%1st Place
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7.58Tulane University2.218.0%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.7%1st Place
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6.91Stanford University2.089.2%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont1.313.6%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University1.255.3%1st Place
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10.51Tufts University1.163.8%1st Place
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5.7Georgetown University2.2012.9%1st Place
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13.97SUNY Maritime College0.131.6%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College2.078.5%1st Place
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10.07George Washington University1.244.2%1st Place
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10.53Old Dominion University0.953.9%1st Place
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9.86University of South Florida1.094.0%1st Place
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9.96Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Ella Withington | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Grace Gear | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 33.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.