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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.25+8.29vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+5.72vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.08+3.86vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+5.86vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.13+8.88vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.31+4.75vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.09+1.99vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-0.49vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07-2.68vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95-0.34vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.90-0.86vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.68-5.78vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.24-3.86vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.26-5.18vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.10-5.97vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.25-6.46vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.94-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29Roger Williams University1.255.6%1st Place
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7.72Tulane University2.218.1%1st Place
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6.86Stanford University2.089.4%1st Place
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9.86Boston University1.143.5%1st Place
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13.88SUNY Maritime College0.131.2%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont1.313.1%1st Place
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5.63Georgetown University2.2013.1%1st Place
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9.99University of South Florida1.094.2%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.5%1st Place
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7.32Bowdoin College2.078.4%1st Place
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10.66Old Dominion University0.954.5%1st Place
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11.14Fordham University0.902.9%1st Place
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7.22Cornell University1.689.0%1st Place
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10.14George Washington University1.244.5%1st Place
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9.82North Carolina State University1.264.1%1st Place
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10.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.104.4%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University1.254.2%1st Place
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11.64University of Wisconsin0.943.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 32.6% |
| Grace Gear | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Camille McGriff | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.