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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+7.00vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+2.58vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.37+2.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+1.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.57-0.32vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44-1.06vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.47+0.58vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy1.55+2.07vs Predicted
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9Yale University0.62+3.17vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-5.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-3.64vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.56-4.39vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University1.05-1.58vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.24-1.12vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.21-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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4.58Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.02Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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5.37Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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4.68Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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4.94Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.58Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.07Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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12.17Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.79Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.61Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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11.42Sacred Heart University1.050.0%1st Place
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12.88Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Willem Sandberg | 13.9% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 23.1% | 23.1% | 12.9% |
| Will Holz | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Eric Sowell | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 8.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 26.8% | 27.8% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 21.2% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.