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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+7.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.57+2.52vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.44+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+3.34vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.47+2.66vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.27-0.58vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.52-2.33vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52-3.28vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.37-3.92vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy1.55+0.13vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.56-3.55vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.62+0.36vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University1.05-1.62vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.21-0.45vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.24-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.52Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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4.91Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.66Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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5.42Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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4.72Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.08Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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10.13Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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12.36Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.38Sacred Heart University1.050.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.77Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Max Nickbarg | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 14.2% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 21.8% | 23.9% | 16.1% |
| Eric Sowell | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 18.7% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 8.1% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 22.3% | 45.3% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 25.6% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.