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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.25+9.54vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+5.66vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+4.34vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.68+3.41vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+0.67vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.25+3.25vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+1.61vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24+2.05vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.31+1.45vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14+0.07vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.10-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.09-1.94vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-2.34vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.94-2.35vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.90-3.82vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.26-6.28vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.08-10.09vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.13-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54Tufts University1.253.5%1st Place
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7.66Tulane University2.217.9%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College2.078.2%1st Place
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7.41Cornell University1.689.0%1st Place
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5.67Georgetown University2.2012.0%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University1.254.3%1st Place
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.0%1st Place
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10.05George Washington University1.244.5%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont1.314.2%1st Place
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10.07Boston University1.144.4%1st Place
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9.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.104.6%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida1.095.3%1st Place
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10.66Old Dominion University0.953.8%1st Place
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11.65University of Wisconsin0.942.9%1st Place
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11.18Fordham University0.902.9%1st Place
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9.72North Carolina State University1.264.5%1st Place
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6.91Stanford University2.0810.3%1st Place
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13.93SUNY Maritime College0.131.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Camille McGriff | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.