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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.14+9.02vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.90+9.32vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.13+11.22vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.21+3.82vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.09+5.01vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.68+1.10vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.07+0.19vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24+2.17vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.10+0.78vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.08-3.07vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.26-1.19vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.25-2.59vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.31-2.46vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-8.46vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.25-4.65vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-5.36vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.94-5.35vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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11.32Fordham University0.902.9%1st Place
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14.22SUNY Maritime College0.131.2%1st Place
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7.82Tulane University2.217.2%1st Place
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10.01University of South Florida1.094.6%1st Place
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7.1Cornell University1.688.6%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College2.078.2%1st Place
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10.17George Washington University1.245.1%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.105.2%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University2.089.4%1st Place
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9.81North Carolina State University1.264.6%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont1.314.2%1st Place
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5.54Georgetown University2.2013.6%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University1.254.9%1st Place
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10.64Old Dominion University0.953.8%1st Place
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11.65University of Wisconsin0.942.1%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 32.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Camille McGriff | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.