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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.34+5.49vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria2.65+0.77vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.20+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.55+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound1.26-1.83vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.21-4.57vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria1.79-4.74vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.76-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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2.77University of Victoria2.650.3%1st Place
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3.49Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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6.25University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.43Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.26University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Scull | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 23.1% | 42.0% |
| Neil Hawkes | 26.9% | 26.0% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Casey Pruitt | 18.2% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| John Elam | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 24.1% | 34.2% |
| Mike Knape | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 12.2% |
| Peter McGrath | 18.5% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Robert Berry | 12.5% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| Christopher Fuller | 12.2% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.