Race 3B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexander Salzberg 31.1% 30.2% 21.6% 10.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Wittick 40.9% 31.2% 17.0% 6.7% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Mohrman 10.8% 13.5% 19.5% 21.0% 15.2% 10.9% 5.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Matthew McCarvill 4.2% 5.9% 9.6% 12.3% 15.8% 16.6% 13.4% 12.0% 8.0% 2.5%
Charlotte Shaw 2.6% 3.4% 6.2% 9.2% 11.7% 12.9% 14.5% 15.3% 13.3% 10.8%
Alexandros Chalvatzakis 3.6% 6.6% 9.6% 14.4% 16.8% 14.8% 13.2% 11.0% 6.7% 3.5%
Joseph Arrigo 1.7% 1.6% 3.4% 5.3% 6.7% 8.7% 10.8% 14.9% 18.1% 28.8%
Tyler Needham 1.1% 2.4% 4.3% 6.0% 8.3% 10.2% 13.0% 14.0% 18.1% 22.6%
George Wood 1.9% 2.8% 3.9% 7.1% 9.3% 10.9% 13.3% 15.4% 17.2% 18.1%
Cooper Bennett 2.2% 2.3% 5.0% 7.0% 9.3% 12.4% 15.4% 15.2% 17.8% 13.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.