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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+3.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.34+5.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.89+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.10+4.06vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.76+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin4.10+2.18vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University1.90+7.51vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California3.58+1.65vs Predicted
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9Washington College4.25-1.35vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont4.60-3.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-0.53vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.33-4.79vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.23-1.88vs Predicted
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14Brown University4.28-6.53vs Predicted
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15University of Florida3.05-3.44vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon1.84-1.18vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.90-2.49vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University2.37-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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5.36Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.06University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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5.69College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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14.51Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Southern California3.580.0%1st Place
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7.65Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Hawaii3.230.0%1st Place
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7.47Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Florida3.050.0%1st Place
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14.82University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
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14.51Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
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13.6Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 18.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 26.6% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Vetter | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Petersen | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hursh | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Craig Emmes | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 20.8% | 38.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 26.6% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 21.4% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.