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📊 Prediction Accuracy

73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Evan Read 12.7% 12.2% 11.4% 11.7% 9.9% 10.5% 9.5% 7.7% 6.1% 4.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Will Holz 13.7% 15.0% 13.7% 12.3% 10.7% 8.6% 8.6% 6.8% 4.8% 3.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Nickbarg 14.6% 14.1% 12.8% 11.4% 11.6% 11.1% 7.8% 7.7% 5.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin MURPHY 13.6% 11.4% 12.7% 10.1% 12.0% 10.8% 9.0% 7.0% 5.8% 4.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 11.8% 14.3% 11.9% 12.0% 11.2% 10.9% 8.2% 7.0% 6.3% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Keally 4.2% 4.8% 5.7% 5.7% 6.0% 6.5% 10.9% 11.0% 11.5% 12.4% 11.0% 6.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Nathan Allman 11.2% 9.5% 11.2% 10.7% 11.9% 11.2% 8.8% 8.7% 6.8% 5.3% 2.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 5.2% 5.1% 5.7% 8.6% 6.4% 7.1% 10.5% 8.9% 11.7% 12.3% 8.8% 6.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 3.6% 3.9% 4.3% 5.0% 6.7% 7.2% 8.1% 9.2% 11.2% 12.7% 13.1% 10.2% 3.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Rinchen Harrison 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 4.7% 4.3% 5.5% 6.8% 10.5% 15.3% 18.6% 13.6% 7.4% 2.9%
Eric Sowell 1.0% 1.7% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 3.1% 4.3% 4.9% 6.4% 12.3% 17.7% 19.5% 15.8% 7.2%
Henry Lewis 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 1.4% 0.8% 1.5% 2.3% 2.8% 4.6% 8.1% 12.8% 22.4% 24.0% 16.8%
Timothy Harding 4.9% 4.5% 6.6% 6.4% 7.2% 6.9% 7.3% 11.2% 11.5% 12.4% 10.2% 7.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Meredith Kresic 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.7% 2.6% 3.7% 6.2% 14.2% 22.1% 45.6%
Jade Forsberg 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 5.8% 10.1% 16.7% 27.1% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.