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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+4.04vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+2.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.57+1.53vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.44+0.91vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.52-0.17vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.47+1.64vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-0.68vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.28-0.91vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy1.55+0.16vs Predicted
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11Sacred Heart University1.05+0.28vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.62+0.39vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.56-5.47vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.21-0.45vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.24-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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4.57Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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4.53Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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4.91Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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5.33Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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10.16Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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11.28Sacred Heart University1.050.0%1st Place
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12.39Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.53Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.82Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 13.6% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 11.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 11.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Eric Sowell | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 7.2% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 22.4% | 24.0% | 16.8% |
| Timothy Harding | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 14.2% | 22.1% | 45.6% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 27.1% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.