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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.57+3.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+2.60vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.37+2.07vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.44+0.92vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.28+3.19vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.27-0.61vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.47+0.59vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy1.55+2.08vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-1.71vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.62+2.22vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.21+2.54vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.52-7.07vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University1.05-1.57vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.24-1.14vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.56-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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4.6Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.07Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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4.92Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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5.39Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.59Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.08Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.22Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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13.54University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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4.93Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.43Sacred Heart University1.050.0%1st Place
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12.86Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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7.36Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Nickbarg | 15.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 12.6% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 1.5% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 21.8% | 22.2% | 16.0% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 21.4% | 47.4% |
| Will Holz | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Sowell | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 21.3% | 16.4% | 7.7% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 26.4% | 26.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.