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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+5.93vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+5.65vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+2.76vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.26+5.64vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+5.93vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24+4.31vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.09+2.83vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+0.61vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.07-1.67vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.68-2.91vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-0.89vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.31-1.49vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.90-1.88vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.16-3.50vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.10-5.02vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.94-4.65vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.25-7.62vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.13-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Stanford University2.088.9%1st Place
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7.65Tulane University2.217.8%1st Place
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5.76Georgetown University2.2013.3%1st Place
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9.64North Carolina State University1.264.5%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University0.953.2%1st Place
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10.31George Washington University1.244.2%1st Place
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9.83University of South Florida1.093.9%1st Place
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.2%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College2.078.4%1st Place
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7.09Cornell University1.689.0%1st Place
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10.11Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Vermont1.314.0%1st Place
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11.12Fordham University0.903.4%1st Place
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10.5Tufts University1.163.9%1st Place
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9.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.104.7%1st Place
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11.35University of Wisconsin0.943.8%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University1.255.2%1st Place
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13.99SUNY Maritime College0.131.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Camille McGriff | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.