← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.08+5.82vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.14+7.99vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+5.57vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.09+5.76vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.94+6.55vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.20-0.29vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College0.13+7.03vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.68-0.84vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.25+0.33vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University0.90+1.31vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.07-3.67vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.10-1.93vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.16-2.41vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University1.26-4.27vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University1.24-4.74vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University2.21-8.36vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.31-6.46vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University0.95-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.82Stanford University2.0810.0%1st Place
-
9.99Boston University1.143.8%1st Place
-
8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.4%1st Place
-
9.76University of South Florida1.094.8%1st Place
-
11.55University of Wisconsin0.942.5%1st Place
-
5.71Georgetown University2.2012.0%1st Place
-
14.03SUNY Maritime College0.131.1%1st Place
-
7.16Cornell University1.689.0%1st Place
-
9.33Roger Williams University1.255.5%1st Place
-
11.31Fordham University0.903.2%1st Place
-
7.33Bowdoin College2.078.9%1st Place
-
10.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.104.1%1st Place
-
10.59Tufts University1.164.3%1st Place
-
9.73North Carolina State University1.264.5%1st Place
-
10.26George Washington University1.244.0%1st Place
-
7.64Tulane University2.217.8%1st Place
-
10.54University of Vermont1.314.2%1st Place
-
10.63Old Dominion University0.953.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 34.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Camille McGriff | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.