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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+4.09vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+2.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+5.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.21+8.51vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.47+1.63vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.44-2.06vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.52-3.23vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.56-1.66vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.57-5.34vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.55-0.84vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-4.50vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.62-0.68vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University1.05-2.72vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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4.59Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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5.33Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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13.51University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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7.63Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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4.94Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.66Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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10.16Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.32Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.28Sacred Heart University1.050.0%1st Place
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12.8Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 14.0% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 12.5% | 22.5% | 46.0% |
| Adam Keally | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 12.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 14.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 2.7% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 20.9% | 24.2% | 17.1% |
| Eric Sowell | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 6.6% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 18.2% | 26.0% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.