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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.13+12.83vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.90+9.04vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+4.47vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.08+2.67vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+5.19vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+1.18vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+2.84vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.25+0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.94+2.17vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.10-0.06vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13+2.11vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-2.62vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-8.43vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.68-7.91vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.26-6.47vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.09-7.47vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.24-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.83SUNY Maritime College0.131.1%1st Place
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11.04Fordham University0.903.1%1st Place
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7.47Tulane University2.217.2%1st Place
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6.67Stanford University2.089.7%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University1.163.6%1st Place
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7.18Bowdoin College2.079.3%1st Place
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9.84Boston University1.144.7%1st Place
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8.99Roger Williams University1.255.5%1st Place
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11.17University of Wisconsin0.944.0%1st Place
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9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.104.3%1st Place
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8.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.4%1st Place
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14.11University of Vermont-0.131.3%1st Place
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10.38Old Dominion University0.954.5%1st Place
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5.57Georgetown University2.2012.3%1st Place
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7.09Cornell University1.688.7%1st Place
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9.53North Carolina State University1.264.2%1st Place
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9.53University of South Florida1.095.2%1st Place
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9.91George Washington University1.245.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clara Guarascio | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 27.0% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% |
| Camille McGriff | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 30.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.