Race 11A

perry

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Adam Ceely 6.2% 5.1% 7.2% 6.8% 8.0% 7.2% 8.0% 10.7% 10.9% 11.4% 9.3% 5.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Willem Sandberg 13.4% 14.6% 15.1% 11.4% 9.2% 9.7% 9.2% 7.4% 4.9% 2.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin MURPHY 12.4% 13.7% 12.1% 10.9% 10.3% 10.6% 9.0% 7.2% 7.1% 4.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 3.8% 4.0% 3.9% 5.7% 6.5% 7.1% 7.1% 9.0% 10.0% 14.6% 13.0% 8.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Max Nickbarg 13.7% 15.3% 11.1% 12.6% 9.9% 9.8% 9.7% 7.7% 4.4% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Sowell 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 3.2% 5.0% 6.6% 10.3% 20.0% 20.8% 15.1% 6.7%
Nathan Allman 11.7% 9.7% 10.6% 11.0% 12.0% 9.8% 9.0% 9.2% 6.4% 5.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Will Holz 15.3% 12.2% 12.1% 12.2% 9.2% 10.9% 8.9% 7.4% 5.3% 3.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Keally 4.0% 4.5% 6.1% 6.3% 7.3% 8.0% 8.8% 11.0% 12.0% 9.9% 11.6% 6.5% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Evan Read 11.4% 10.7% 11.4% 11.9% 11.5% 10.3% 9.5% 7.6% 7.1% 3.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Rinchen Harrison 2.0% 2.0% 2.4% 1.8% 3.2% 3.0% 5.4% 6.5% 7.5% 9.8% 13.8% 17.6% 14.6% 8.1% 2.3%
Timothy Harding 4.0% 4.9% 4.5% 6.7% 8.1% 8.3% 8.4% 8.7% 11.3% 12.6% 13.0% 6.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Henry Lewis 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 3.3% 5.3% 7.2% 13.0% 21.5% 22.7% 17.5%
Meredith Kresic 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 3.1% 7.4% 13.6% 21.4% 46.2%
Jade Forsberg 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 1.9% 1.7% 2.9% 3.7% 4.8% 10.9% 15.5% 27.9% 26.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.