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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+5.70vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.26+7.59vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+2.65vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.68+3.08vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+4.77vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.21+1.53vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.16+3.32vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.25+0.95vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.90+2.19vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.94+1.34vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.24-0.92vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-4.96vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-4.46vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.10-4.54vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.95-4.83vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.13-1.96vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.09-7.34vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.13-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Stanford University2.088.7%1st Place
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9.59North Carolina State University1.265.3%1st Place
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5.65Georgetown University2.2013.4%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University1.688.6%1st Place
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9.77Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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7.53Tulane University2.218.3%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.164.1%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University1.255.5%1st Place
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11.19Fordham University0.902.5%1st Place
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11.34University of Wisconsin0.943.4%1st Place
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10.08George Washington University1.244.7%1st Place
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7.04Bowdoin College2.078.7%1st Place
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8.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.8%1st Place
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9.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.105.7%1st Place
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10.17Old Dominion University0.954.5%1st Place
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14.04University of Vermont-0.131.1%1st Place
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9.66University of South Florida1.094.3%1st Place
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13.9SUNY Maritime College0.131.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Camille McGriff | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 29.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.