Race 12A

perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Will Holz 14.5% 13.0% 13.5% 11.0% 11.4% 9.5% 9.4% 7.0% 5.1% 2.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Nickbarg 14.6% 15.0% 14.1% 12.5% 11.0% 9.2% 7.6% 7.1% 3.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 13.8% 13.9% 12.1% 12.2% 11.3% 10.0% 9.2% 7.4% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 10.8% 10.4% 11.4% 10.1% 10.8% 10.0% 9.9% 9.3% 7.5% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Colin MURPHY 11.6% 11.8% 12.4% 11.1% 11.7% 12.0% 8.4% 7.3% 5.1% 4.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 3.5% 4.6% 4.0% 5.5% 4.7% 5.6% 8.8% 9.9% 12.4% 13.6% 12.6% 8.3% 4.6% 1.4% 0.5%
Timothy Harding 5.5% 5.8% 5.7% 6.2% 7.0% 8.1% 8.5% 10.8% 11.4% 12.0% 9.3% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Evan Read 12.5% 11.4% 11.1% 11.5% 10.1% 9.6% 8.9% 8.1% 8.4% 4.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Keally 4.2% 4.1% 5.3% 6.5% 7.6% 9.4% 7.9% 10.0% 12.1% 11.3% 11.4% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Rinchen Harrison 1.9% 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 2.8% 3.7% 4.8% 5.5% 7.7% 10.8% 14.5% 18.2% 13.5% 8.0% 2.2%
Adam Ceely 4.9% 6.0% 5.7% 7.0% 7.7% 9.1% 8.0% 9.7% 9.7% 10.4% 11.3% 6.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Eric Sowell 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 3.0% 3.4% 4.6% 7.5% 11.4% 17.4% 22.3% 17.1% 6.3%
Henry Lewis 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 1.8% 1.2% 2.5% 1.8% 3.4% 4.7% 7.7% 13.7% 20.7% 22.4% 17.7%
Meredith Kresic 0.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 2.7% 3.3% 7.7% 12.2% 23.1% 45.6%
Jade Forsberg 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 2.0% 1.9% 2.6% 3.5% 4.9% 10.7% 18.1% 25.2% 27.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.