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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+4.06vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+3.89vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.04+4.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82+3.94vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+2.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.70-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.51-1.19vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.90-3.34vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University0.39+2.97vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.72-1.58vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.45-4.96vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.29-2.15vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.07-1.03vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.26-1.78vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.81-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.17Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.94Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.86Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.22Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.66Tufts University2.900.2%1st Place
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11.97Sacred Heart University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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6.04Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.85Maine Maritime Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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12.97Middlebury College-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.22University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.92Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Reid Secondo | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 10.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cara Forlenza | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 24.5% | 15.4% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Eric Anderson | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ocean Kane | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Parker Peltzer | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 13.5% | 27.1% | 35.3% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 13.1% | 23.4% | 41.8% |
| Peter Bailey | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.