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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.01vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.44+6.74vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+3.59vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.91vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44+4.37vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.68+4.84vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09+0.76vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.29+0.06vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.67vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.36+2.05vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.88-4.43vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.37+0.35vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-3.68vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.78-5.11vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.21-2.30vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-4.15vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.32-2.54vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.75-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Stanford University2.6420.4%1st Place
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8.74University of South Florida1.445.4%1st Place
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6.59Tulane University1.739.6%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.2%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University1.444.7%1st Place
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10.84Old Dominion University0.682.9%1st Place
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7.76North Carolina State University1.096.3%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University1.295.5%1st Place
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9.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.5%1st Place
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12.05University of Wisconsin0.361.9%1st Place
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6.57Cornell University1.889.6%1st Place
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12.35Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University1.135.2%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College0.784.8%1st Place
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12.7George Washington University0.212.1%1st Place
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11.85University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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14.46SUNY Maritime College-0.321.1%1st Place
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10.86Roger Williams University0.753.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 20.4% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Megan Geith | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 34.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.