Race 2B

perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Marly Isler 14.2% 13.2% 12.0% 9.9% 10.1% 9.0% 8.3% 7.4% 5.5% 3.9% 2.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Henry O'Brien 9.4% 11.8% 10.4% 9.9% 8.8% 9.8% 9.0% 7.7% 6.6% 6.0% 5.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 12.7% 12.2% 10.6% 10.8% 10.1% 9.2% 8.6% 8.7% 5.1% 5.4% 3.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Anders Ekholm 5.2% 5.1% 5.8% 7.7% 6.5% 6.3% 7.3% 9.9% 8.8% 9.0% 9.3% 9.6% 5.8% 2.9% 0.8%
Alex Reynolds 6.7% 7.1% 6.6% 5.6% 7.2% 8.1% 7.7% 7.4% 9.3% 11.8% 8.7% 6.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.4%
James Moody 14.3% 15.0% 10.8% 13.4% 11.5% 8.9% 8.9% 5.3% 4.5% 3.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 10.0% 8.3% 10.0% 9.8% 8.8% 10.6% 9.3% 8.3% 7.3% 5.9% 6.1% 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Emily Petno 9.4% 10.3% 9.6% 9.2% 8.7% 8.2% 10.0% 7.3% 8.7% 7.3% 5.3% 3.3% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 4.0% 3.8% 5.5% 6.2% 6.1% 7.9% 6.2% 8.0% 10.8% 8.6% 11.0% 10.1% 7.8% 3.4% 0.6%
Reid Secondo 4.3% 4.5% 6.1% 5.9% 6.2% 6.4% 7.4% 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 10.4% 8.1% 7.1% 3.7% 0.9%
Peter Bailey 5.0% 4.9% 6.6% 5.4% 6.8% 6.4% 6.8% 7.5% 10.7% 8.6% 9.9% 8.2% 7.8% 4.0% 1.4%
Ocean Kane 2.7% 1.9% 2.4% 3.3% 4.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.2% 9.5% 11.6% 16.1% 15.2% 8.6% 2.5%
Cara Forlenza 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 1.3% 2.4% 1.5% 1.7% 3.6% 3.1% 5.0% 5.4% 10.6% 19.2% 23.5% 19.1%
Parker Peltzer 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 3.3% 5.5% 7.5% 13.6% 25.2% 33.3%
Kimberly Jackman 0.6% 0.3% 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 2.6% 7.2% 12.3% 24.1% 40.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.