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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.18vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.44+6.54vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+3.64vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.78+4.94vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+4.82vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+0.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.44+2.57vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+2.68vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.68+0.93vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.21+1.78vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.29-4.22vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-6.13vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.32+0.59vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-2.68vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.13-6.72vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.75-6.27vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.36-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Stanford University2.6420.6%1st Place
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8.54University of South Florida1.445.7%1st Place
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6.64Cornell University1.888.8%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College0.784.7%1st Place
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9.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.0%1st Place
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6.66Tulane University1.738.9%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University1.444.2%1st Place
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7.8North Carolina State University1.097.2%1st Place
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11.68University of Vermont0.482.3%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University0.683.0%1st Place
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12.78George Washington University0.212.1%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University1.296.2%1st Place
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.8%1st Place
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14.59SUNY Maritime College-0.321.5%1st Place
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12.32Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University1.134.2%1st Place
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10.73Roger Williams University0.753.7%1st Place
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11.9University of Wisconsin0.362.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 20.6% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Megan Geith | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.4% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 34.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.