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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.44+7.51vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+3.42vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+5.68vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.68+5.84vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.44+2.75vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.75+3.72vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.88-1.48vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+3.41vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.03vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.29-3.12vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-4.34vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-1.22vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.13-4.56vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.36-3.07vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.78-6.88vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.21-4.30vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.32-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Stanford University2.6419.8%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University1.444.5%1st Place
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6.42Tulane University1.7310.3%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.2%1st Place
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10.84Old Dominion University0.683.1%1st Place
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8.75University of South Florida1.445.3%1st Place
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10.72Roger Williams University0.753.1%1st Place
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6.52Cornell University1.889.4%1st Place
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12.41Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
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6.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.7%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University1.296.9%1st Place
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7.66North Carolina State University1.096.7%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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9.44Fordham University1.135.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Wisconsin0.362.2%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College0.784.9%1st Place
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12.7George Washington University0.211.8%1st Place
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14.55SUNY Maritime College-0.321.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 19.8% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Megan Geith | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 10.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 16.2% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.