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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.10vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.50vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.29+4.94vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.48+7.78vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.88+1.62vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.69vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13+2.35vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.68+2.79vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.21+3.53vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.09vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44-1.56vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.78-2.76vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.44-4.38vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.09-6.36vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.32-0.52vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.75-5.15vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.36-4.81vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.37-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Stanford University2.6419.2%1st Place
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6.5Tulane University1.739.6%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University1.296.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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6.62Cornell University1.888.3%1st Place
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9.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.3%1st Place
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9.35Fordham University1.134.5%1st Place
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10.79Old Dominion University0.682.6%1st Place
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12.53George Washington University0.212.2%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.6%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University1.444.7%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College0.785.4%1st Place
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8.62University of South Florida1.445.5%1st Place
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7.64North Carolina State University1.097.1%1st Place
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14.48SUNY Maritime College-0.321.1%1st Place
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10.85Roger Williams University0.753.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Wisconsin0.362.6%1st Place
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12.32Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 19.2% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Megan Geith | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 35.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.