Race 4B

perry

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
James Moody 16.0% 15.1% 11.6% 12.3% 9.9% 8.5% 7.0% 6.9% 3.8% 3.6% 2.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Anders Ekholm 5.2% 5.5% 6.3% 6.1% 7.7% 9.5% 7.4% 7.3% 8.7% 9.3% 9.3% 8.8% 5.6% 2.8% 0.5%
Peter Bailey 4.7% 5.9% 6.1% 5.4% 5.6% 7.2% 8.1% 7.6% 9.5% 9.0% 11.8% 8.5% 6.6% 3.5% 0.5%
Thomas Gallagher 4.6% 4.0% 5.7% 5.5% 5.7% 7.2% 6.2% 7.7% 9.5% 8.3% 11.4% 10.0% 8.2% 4.8% 1.2%
Emily Petno 10.5% 10.0% 7.2% 8.8% 9.3% 7.6% 9.2% 10.9% 9.2% 5.7% 6.0% 3.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Charles Proctor 12.4% 8.6% 13.6% 11.1% 11.4% 9.3% 9.1% 7.3% 5.5% 5.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Reid Secondo 6.2% 5.1% 5.2% 6.2% 6.1% 6.0% 9.1% 8.1% 10.3% 9.1% 8.6% 8.9% 6.7% 3.7% 0.7%
Marly Isler 12.6% 14.3% 10.4% 10.3% 11.1% 9.0% 8.2% 7.0% 5.6% 5.5% 3.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Henry O'Brien 8.9% 10.3% 11.1% 10.5% 8.5% 10.7% 9.0% 8.2% 7.8% 6.3% 4.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Alex Reynolds 5.5% 5.5% 8.0% 7.3% 5.8% 8.4% 8.0% 9.4% 9.0% 8.9% 9.5% 7.4% 4.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Eric Anderson 9.0% 11.2% 9.1% 10.0% 9.7% 7.9% 8.6% 6.0% 6.8% 8.6% 4.7% 5.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Ocean Kane 2.5% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 4.4% 4.8% 5.3% 7.2% 6.1% 8.9% 11.1% 17.0% 14.1% 8.3% 2.7%
Cara Forlenza 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 2.1% 3.1% 3.6% 4.9% 6.1% 7.9% 20.6% 22.9% 20.0%
Kimberly Jackman 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 3.4% 3.2% 7.1% 10.8% 26.4% 39.8%
Parker Peltzer 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 2.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 4.3% 7.3% 15.6% 23.8% 33.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.