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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+2.85vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.04vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.29+4.27vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.48+6.99vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.44+3.04vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.15vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.44+1.74vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.21+3.95vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.50vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.88-3.91vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.78-2.58vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.36-0.69vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-4.16vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.68-3.81vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.75-4.94vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.32-2.10vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.37-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Stanford University2.6422.2%1st Place
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6.04Tulane University1.7310.4%1st Place
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7.27Georgetown University1.297.3%1st Place
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10.99University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida1.445.5%1st Place
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9.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.5%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University1.445.2%1st Place
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11.95George Washington University0.212.4%1st Place
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6.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.8%1st Place
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6.09Cornell University1.889.3%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College0.785.5%1st Place
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11.31University of Wisconsin0.362.5%1st Place
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8.84Fordham University1.135.2%1st Place
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10.19Old Dominion University0.683.0%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University0.753.1%1st Place
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13.9SUNY Maritime College-0.321.3%1st Place
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11.67Boston University0.372.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 22.2% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Megan Geith | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 37.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.