Race 5B

perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Emily Petno 10.9% 9.0% 11.1% 8.3% 9.9% 9.6% 8.1% 7.8% 7.6% 6.7% 5.3% 3.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Marly Isler 13.8% 14.0% 12.2% 11.0% 10.5% 8.4% 8.3% 6.9% 5.7% 3.1% 3.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Anders Ekholm 5.5% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 7.0% 8.2% 7.6% 10.3% 8.9% 10.6% 9.1% 5.1% 2.7% 0.2%
Alex Reynolds 6.2% 6.6% 7.4% 8.6% 6.6% 7.2% 8.1% 8.1% 8.3% 9.7% 9.2% 7.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.3%
Charles Proctor 11.9% 12.1% 10.3% 10.2% 10.5% 9.2% 9.2% 8.5% 5.5% 4.6% 4.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Bailey 3.9% 5.0% 6.6% 5.0% 5.3% 7.7% 8.1% 8.6% 10.3% 9.3% 10.8% 9.6% 5.7% 3.4% 0.7%
Henry O'Brien 11.3% 8.8% 9.2% 10.5% 10.5% 8.3% 10.5% 7.4% 6.7% 6.7% 4.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Ocean Kane 2.7% 3.4% 3.0% 3.8% 3.9% 4.6% 5.7% 7.2% 7.3% 7.8% 10.7% 13.4% 14.5% 9.6% 2.4%
Reid Secondo 4.5% 5.5% 4.4% 6.4% 7.8% 7.0% 7.0% 9.3% 8.5% 9.5% 10.8% 9.4% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7%
Eric Anderson 8.7% 9.1% 9.1% 10.7% 8.4% 10.8% 8.5% 8.9% 7.2% 6.8% 5.5% 3.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
James Moody 14.8% 15.7% 13.2% 9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 7.2% 6.7% 5.8% 4.5% 2.0% 1.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 3.7% 3.2% 4.2% 6.8% 6.8% 6.9% 5.6% 6.6% 9.1% 10.7% 11.0% 12.6% 9.2% 2.9% 0.7%
Parker Peltzer 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 1.8% 3.9% 3.8% 5.4% 14.5% 28.2% 33.4%
Cara Forlenza 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 2.9% 4.1% 5.5% 5.9% 10.8% 21.2% 22.1% 16.5%
Sabina Chlus 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 5.6% 11.0% 24.3% 44.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.