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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+4.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.33+5.08vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.58+6.82vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University5.19+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida4.10+2.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.34+1.34vs Predicted
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7Washington College4.25+0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Florida3.05+3.40vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont4.60-2.56vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.28-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin4.10-2.81vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University1.90+2.61vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.89-7.55vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii3.23-2.85vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University2.37-1.49vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University1.90-1.39vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-6.52vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon1.84-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Southern California3.580.0%1st Place
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4.56Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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7.83University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.5Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Florida3.050.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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14.61Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.45Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Hawaii3.230.0%1st Place
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13.51Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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14.61Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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14.78University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Vetter | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 16.4% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hursh | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 22.7% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Petersen | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 0.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 24.3% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 22.7% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Craig Emmes | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 21.1% | 37.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.