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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+3.29vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.87+3.62vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.85+2.73vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.13+5.30vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.01+2.88vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.94-0.76vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.94-2.37vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-0.15+0.34vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.18+3.49vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University0.10-2.38vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-0.52-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-1.75+2.05vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-2.68+3.41vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.55-4.16vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.57-4.15vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-0.97-4.72vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-1.32vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-3.07-0.92vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.41-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29North Carolina State University1.5317.6%1st Place
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5.62Clemson University0.8711.7%1st Place
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5.73Eckerd College0.8510.3%1st Place
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9.3The Citadel-0.133.6%1st Place
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6.09Christopher Newport University0.739.4%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida0.015.0%1st Place
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6.24Jacksonville University0.9410.0%1st Place
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5.63Rice University0.9410.3%1st Place
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9.34University of Texas-0.154.5%1st Place
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13.49San Diego State University-1.181.4%1st Place
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8.62Texas A&M University0.104.5%1st Place
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10.61University of Virginia-0.522.5%1st Place
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15.05University of North Carolina-1.750.8%1st Place
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17.41University of Central Florida-2.680.2%1st Place
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10.84Washington College-0.553.0%1st Place
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11.85Hope College-0.571.6%1st Place
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12.28Michigan State University-0.971.8%1st Place
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16.68Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.5%1st Place
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18.08William and Mary-3.070.2%1st Place
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13.99Arizona State University-1.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 17.6% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Blackwell | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Ingram | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Myrick | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 5.7% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 23.6% | 27.7% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Caden Meyers | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 23.0% | 16.4% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 19.8% | 45.0% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.