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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+3.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+3.16vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.04+4.15vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.87+3.80vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.82+2.99vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.450.00vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.51-1.22vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45-1.96vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.72-0.76vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.81-1.89vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.29-1.40vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.07+1.02vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University0.39-1.98vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.37-1.66vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.76-10.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Tufts University2.900.2%1st Place
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5.16Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.15Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.8Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.99Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.0Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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8.11Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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9.6Maine Maritime Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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13.02Middlebury College-0.070.0%1st Place
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12.02Sacred Heart University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Connecticut-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.11Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 15.6% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Reid Secondo | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 10.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Bailey | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Ocean Kane | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 3.3% |
| Parker Peltzer | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 27.9% | 33.2% |
| Cara Forlenza | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 19.8% | 25.4% | 16.8% |
| Sabina Chlus | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 23.0% | 43.5% |
| Marly Isler | 13.2% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.