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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.09vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.99vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+3.48vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.29+3.87vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44+4.43vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.44+1.63vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.21+4.58vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.65vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.78-0.96vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.68-0.12vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.32+2.52vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-3.76vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.75-3.24vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.36-2.80vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-4.12vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.09-9.09vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.37-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Stanford University2.6421.0%1st Place
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6.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.3%1st Place
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6.48Cornell University1.889.6%1st Place
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7.87Georgetown University1.295.8%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University1.444.3%1st Place
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6.47Tulane University1.739.5%1st Place
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8.63University of South Florida1.445.9%1st Place
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12.58George Washington University0.212.0%1st Place
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9.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.3%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College0.785.2%1st Place
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10.88Old Dominion University0.682.6%1st Place
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14.52SUNY Maritime College-0.321.0%1st Place
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9.24Fordham University1.134.7%1st Place
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10.76Roger Williams University0.753.3%1st Place
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12.2University of Wisconsin0.361.8%1st Place
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11.88University of Vermont0.482.7%1st Place
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7.91North Carolina State University1.096.2%1st Place
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12.39Boston University0.371.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 21.0% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Megan Geith | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 35.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 9.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.