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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.13vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.57vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+6.52vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.13+5.37vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+1.93vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.48+5.82vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.88-0.49vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.75+2.69vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.44-0.28vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.68+0.79vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.78-1.93vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.44-2.44vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.21-0.12vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.29-6.11vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-2.64vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.09-8.33vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.32-2.38vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.36-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Stanford University2.6419.0%1st Place
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6.57Tulane University1.739.6%1st Place
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9.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.975.0%1st Place
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9.37Fordham University1.134.2%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland1.769.2%1st Place
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11.82University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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6.51Cornell University1.888.9%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University0.752.8%1st Place
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8.72University of South Florida1.444.8%1st Place
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10.79Old Dominion University0.683.4%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College0.784.9%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University1.444.9%1st Place
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12.88George Washington University0.211.8%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University1.296.5%1st Place
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12.36Boston University0.371.7%1st Place
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7.67North Carolina State University1.097.4%1st Place
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14.62SUNY Maritime College-0.321.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Wisconsin0.362.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 19.0% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Megan Geith | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 14.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 36.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.