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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+4.02vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.72+6.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.90+1.56vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+1.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.45+1.08vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.87+1.85vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.51-2.12vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-3.07vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.81-1.90vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.82-3.01vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.29-2.21vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University0.39-0.95vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.07-1.16vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.37-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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4.56Tufts University2.900.2%1st Place
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5.24Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.85Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.25Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.1Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.99Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.79Maine Maritime Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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12.05Sacred Heart University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.84Middlebury College-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Connecticut-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| James Moody | 15.8% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Alex Reynolds | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Henry O'Brien | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Bailey | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Reid Secondo | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Ocean Kane | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 2.1% |
| Cara Forlenza | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 21.1% | 23.3% | 18.3% |
| Parker Peltzer | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 26.1% | 31.9% |
| Sabina Chlus | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 23.1% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.