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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.44+7.48vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.02vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.48+6.76vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.55vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.21+5.78vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.88-1.47vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.44-0.34vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.68+0.74vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.78-2.01vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-4.38vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.32+1.66vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.75-3.31vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.13-5.52vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.64vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.29-9.21vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.36-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Stanford University2.6419.4%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University1.444.7%1st Place
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7.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.5%1st Place
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6.61Tulane University1.738.7%1st Place
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11.76University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.0%1st Place
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12.78George Washington University0.212.5%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University1.888.9%1st Place
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8.66University of South Florida1.445.0%1st Place
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10.74Old Dominion University0.683.5%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College0.784.5%1st Place
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7.62North Carolina State University1.097.6%1st Place
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14.66SUNY Maritime College-0.321.6%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University0.753.2%1st Place
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9.48Fordham University1.134.2%1st Place
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12.36Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University1.297.2%1st Place
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12.07University of Wisconsin0.362.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 19.4% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 8.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 15.4% |
| Meredith Moran | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Megan Geith | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 35.7% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.4% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.