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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+2.92vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.29+5.78vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.48+8.78vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+2.47vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.75+5.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.83+3.97vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.68+3.80vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.88-1.46vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.09-1.31vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.99vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.13-1.62vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.47vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.78-3.97vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.44-5.32vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.32-0.40vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.58vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.36-5.10vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.21-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Stanford University2.6420.2%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University1.296.9%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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6.47Tulane University1.7310.2%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University0.752.9%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University0.833.8%1st Place
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10.8Old Dominion University0.683.1%1st Place
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6.54Cornell University1.888.4%1st Place
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7.69North Carolina State University1.096.2%1st Place
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7.01St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.9%1st Place
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9.38Fordham University1.134.8%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.3%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College0.785.2%1st Place
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8.68University of South Florida1.444.2%1st Place
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14.6SUNY Maritime College-0.321.8%1st Place
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12.42Boston University0.371.7%1st Place
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11.9University of Wisconsin0.362.5%1st Place
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12.61George Washington University0.211.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 20.2% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Megan Geith | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Meredith Moran | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 36.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.