← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.76+4.01vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.81+5.83vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.70+2.23vs Predicted
-
4Maine Maritime Academy1.29+5.62vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.90-0.16vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.87+1.86vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.45-1.04vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.51-2.15vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.82-1.10vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.45-3.87vs Predicted
-
12Sacred Heart University0.39-0.10vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut-0.37+0.49vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-0.07-1.07vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University2.04-7.81vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College1.72-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.01Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.83Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
-
5.23Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
-
9.62Maine Maritime Academy1.290.0%1st Place
-
4.84Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.86Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
-
5.96Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.85University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.9Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
-
6.13Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
-
11.9Sacred Heart University0.390.0%1st Place
-
13.49University of Connecticut-0.370.0%1st Place
-
12.93Middlebury College-0.070.0%1st Place
-
7.19Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
-
8.28Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Charles Proctor | 12.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ocean Kane | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 2.5% |
| James Moody | 13.6% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Petno | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Eric Anderson | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cara Forlenza | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 23.0% | 22.0% | 16.5% |
| Sabina Chlus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 25.5% | 45.7% |
| Parker Peltzer | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 14.7% | 27.5% | 32.9% |
| Alex Reynolds | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.