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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.51vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.29+5.92vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+3.71vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.64+0.17vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.44+2.93vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+4.59vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.13+1.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.44+0.77vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.78-0.66vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.32-2.75vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-4.19vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.75-2.22vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.36-1.79vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-3.10vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.43vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.68-5.97vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.32-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Tulane University1.739.0%1st Place
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7.92Georgetown University1.296.9%1st Place
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6.71Cornell University1.8810.2%1st Place
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4.17Stanford University2.6419.4%1st Place
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7.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.9%1st Place
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8.93University of South Florida1.445.1%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.6%1st Place
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9.59Fordham University1.134.1%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University1.444.7%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College0.784.4%1st Place
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8.25George Washington University1.326.1%1st Place
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7.81North Carolina State University1.096.2%1st Place
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10.78Roger Williams University0.753.8%1st Place
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12.21University of Wisconsin0.362.5%1st Place
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11.9University of Vermont0.482.3%1st Place
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12.57Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University0.683.5%1st Place
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14.75SUNY Maritime College-0.320.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 19.4% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Brook Wood | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.4% |
| Megan Geith | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 15.6% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.