Race 11B

perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Reid Secondo 5.6% 5.6% 5.4% 7.3% 5.4% 6.6% 8.4% 8.6% 9.1% 7.6% 10.0% 9.8% 6.6% 3.2% 0.8%
Marly Isler 13.0% 14.6% 10.6% 13.0% 9.6% 9.3% 8.3% 6.5% 5.8% 3.7% 3.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Anders Ekholm 4.6% 6.1% 6.8% 6.5% 6.3% 6.8% 8.3% 7.4% 9.7% 10.0% 9.6% 10.2% 4.3% 3.1% 0.3%
Alex Reynolds 6.3% 6.4% 8.3% 6.7% 8.2% 6.9% 7.5% 7.7% 10.1% 8.9% 8.8% 7.3% 5.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Charles Proctor 12.3% 10.9% 11.8% 9.7% 8.2% 12.2% 8.8% 7.3% 6.0% 5.6% 3.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Bailey 3.8% 5.5% 6.0% 5.5% 5.4% 7.2% 8.7% 9.0% 8.3% 11.0% 11.4% 8.9% 5.5% 2.9% 0.9%
Henry O'Brien 11.3% 8.1% 9.9% 9.6% 11.1% 10.0% 8.5% 7.8% 6.4% 6.7% 4.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Ocean Kane 2.5% 3.7% 3.4% 2.4% 5.5% 4.4% 5.3% 6.4% 7.3% 8.6% 10.6% 14.2% 14.9% 8.3% 2.5%
Eric Anderson 9.8% 7.9% 9.2% 11.1% 11.0% 7.8% 9.3% 9.9% 8.0% 5.8% 5.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Thomas Gallagher 3.7% 4.8% 5.1% 4.9% 5.8% 6.8% 6.1% 9.0% 9.4% 9.6% 10.6% 10.8% 8.7% 3.5% 1.2%
Emily Petno 9.5% 10.0% 9.9% 9.4% 9.8% 8.9% 6.8% 7.8% 8.2% 7.5% 4.8% 3.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Cara Forlenza 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.1% 5.1% 7.4% 10.9% 19.1% 25.9% 16.5%
Sabina Chlus 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 3.2% 4.5% 10.8% 23.6% 47.1%
Parker Peltzer 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 3.7% 4.6% 7.4% 17.4% 26.0% 30.0%
James Moody 15.5% 14.3% 11.8% 10.9% 10.6% 9.0% 8.0% 6.8% 4.9% 4.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.