Race 12B

perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Henry O'Brien 9.8% 10.8% 11.2% 9.4% 9.2% 9.4% 8.9% 8.0% 7.1% 5.8% 4.4% 2.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 4.3% 4.2% 5.3% 5.4% 7.4% 7.7% 7.6% 7.3% 9.7% 7.3% 11.7% 9.5% 8.8% 3.2% 0.6%
Peter Bailey 5.2% 5.1% 4.9% 7.3% 6.0% 6.2% 7.4% 7.5% 9.4% 10.7% 11.9% 8.8% 6.0% 3.1% 0.5%
Marly Isler 13.1% 13.5% 12.0% 9.9% 10.0% 9.2% 8.3% 8.5% 5.4% 4.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Anders Ekholm 5.6% 5.5% 5.8% 6.9% 5.1% 7.7% 7.9% 6.8% 9.0% 10.7% 9.0% 10.7% 5.7% 3.1% 0.5%
Emily Petno 8.6% 9.4% 9.3% 9.4% 10.4% 10.4% 9.9% 8.7% 6.4% 6.0% 6.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Reid Secondo 6.0% 4.3% 5.3% 6.2% 6.8% 6.3% 6.6% 9.9% 9.1% 10.2% 9.4% 9.6% 6.5% 3.4% 0.4%
Charles Proctor 11.5% 12.2% 12.2% 9.6% 9.8% 8.6% 9.3% 8.0% 6.7% 4.9% 3.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
James Moody 15.0% 14.7% 12.3% 12.9% 10.8% 8.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 6.5% 4.8% 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 8.8% 8.1% 8.2% 9.7% 9.2% 8.4% 7.9% 5.2% 1.2% 0.6%
Ocean Kane 2.7% 2.6% 4.3% 3.2% 4.6% 4.5% 4.6% 6.0% 7.0% 9.7% 10.9% 14.3% 13.8% 8.8% 3.0%
Cara Forlenza 1.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 4.0% 5.3% 6.6% 9.8% 21.3% 24.8% 16.7%
Sabina Chlus 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 2.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.9% 5.6% 11.0% 21.6% 48.1%
Parker Peltzer 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 4.6% 8.5% 14.9% 28.6% 29.5%
Eric Anderson 9.6% 11.0% 8.4% 9.7% 8.8% 8.7% 8.6% 8.1% 8.6% 7.5% 4.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.