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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.64vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.32+6.25vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.64+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.44+4.97vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.29+3.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.44+3.64vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.88-0.30vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.37+4.33vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.09-1.04vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.91vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.78-1.90vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.75-1.29vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.68-2.10vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.32+0.86vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.36-2.68vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.13-6.37vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.48-4.89vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Tulane University1.739.7%1st Place
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8.25George Washington University1.326.2%1st Place
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4.07Stanford University2.6420.2%1st Place
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8.97University of South Florida1.445.4%1st Place
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8.0Georgetown University1.295.9%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University1.444.7%1st Place
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6.7Cornell University1.889.1%1st Place
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12.33Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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7.96North Carolina State University1.096.9%1st Place
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7.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.0%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College0.784.1%1st Place
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10.71Roger Williams University0.752.9%1st Place
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10.9Old Dominion University0.683.3%1st Place
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14.86SUNY Maritime College-0.320.8%1st Place
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12.32University of Wisconsin0.362.5%1st Place
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9.63Fordham University1.133.7%1st Place
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12.11University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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11.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Freeman | 20.2% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Megan Geith | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 38.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 12.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 9.3% |
| Brook Wood | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.