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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+0.58vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.07-0.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03-1.96vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.04-1.52vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.41vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.27-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Tufts University3.670.6%1st Place
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2.77Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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2.04Brown University3.030.3%1st Place
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4.48Salve Regina University0.040.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.55Wesleyan University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 56.8% | 30.0% | 11.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 12.1% | 20.5% | 49.0% | 15.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| James Barry | 28.9% | 43.5% | 23.3% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Maguire | 0.9% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 37.7% | 38.1% | 12.8% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.0% | 2.5% | 6.7% | 33.6% | 38.7% | 17.5% |
| Josh Atchley | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 8.1% | 19.8% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.