← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.73+5.54vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.92vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.44+6.36vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont0.48+7.78vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.64-0.84vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.13+3.41vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University0.68+3.82vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University1.29-0.20vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.44-0.37vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.37+2.32vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.32-2.74vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University0.75-1.21vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.74vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University0.97-4.17vs Predicted
-
15North Carolina State University1.09-7.41vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin0.36-4.17vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College0.78-8.01vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College-0.32-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.54Tulane University1.739.6%1st Place
-
6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.1%1st Place
-
9.36Tufts University1.444.5%1st Place
-
11.78University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
-
4.16Stanford University2.6420.2%1st Place
-
9.41Fordham University1.134.5%1st Place
-
10.82Old Dominion University0.683.3%1st Place
-
7.8Georgetown University1.296.8%1st Place
-
8.63University of South Florida1.445.3%1st Place
-
12.32Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
-
8.26George Washington University1.326.3%1st Place
-
10.79Roger Williams University0.753.0%1st Place
-
11.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.563.5%1st Place
-
9.83Cornell University0.973.9%1st Place
-
7.59North Carolina State University1.097.2%1st Place
-
11.83University of Wisconsin0.362.5%1st Place
-
8.99Bowdoin College0.786.0%1st Place
-
14.71SUNY Maritime College-0.321.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 20.2% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Megan Geith | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Brook Wood | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.