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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.67vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.29+5.98vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.48+8.96vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.64+0.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44+4.41vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.88+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.44+1.74vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09-0.08vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.68+2.07vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.36+2.21vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.32-2.64vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.32+2.66vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-3.43vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-6.86vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.78-5.90vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-4.41vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.75-5.97vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.37-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Tulane University1.739.8%1st Place
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7.98Georgetown University1.296.9%1st Place
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11.96University of Vermont0.482.3%1st Place
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4.25Stanford University2.6419.9%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University1.445.1%1st Place
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6.63Cornell University1.889.2%1st Place
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8.74University of South Florida1.444.5%1st Place
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7.92North Carolina State University1.096.2%1st Place
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11.07Old Dominion University0.683.5%1st Place
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12.21University of Wisconsin0.362.8%1st Place
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8.36George Washington University1.325.2%1st Place
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14.66SUNY Maritime College-0.321.4%1st Place
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9.57Fordham University1.134.7%1st Place
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7.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.0%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College0.783.9%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.1%1st Place
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11.03Roger Williams University0.752.6%1st Place
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12.69Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 19.9% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Megan Geith | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 36.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Brook Wood | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.