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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+0.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.07+0.76vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03-1.97vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.04-1.50vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.27-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Tufts University3.670.6%1st Place
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2.76Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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2.03Brown University3.030.3%1st Place
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4.5Salve Regina University0.040.0%1st Place
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5.56Wesleyan University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 56.7% | 30.0% | 11.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 12.3% | 21.0% | 48.1% | 15.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 29.0% | 43.3% | 23.7% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Maguire | 0.9% | 2.9% | 8.0% | 35.0% | 39.6% | 13.6% |
| Josh Atchley | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 71.4% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.8% | 2.1% | 6.8% | 34.5% | 40.9% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.