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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+6.89vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.75+8.78vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.37+9.57vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+2.61vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32+3.15vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.68+4.88vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.07vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.44+0.63vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.64-4.73vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.32+4.75vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.83-0.69vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.41vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-3.58vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.36-1.57vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.88-8.38vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.29-7.95vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.48-5.02vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College0.78-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89North Carolina State University1.096.9%1st Place
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10.78Roger Williams University0.752.8%1st Place
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12.57Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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6.61Tulane University1.7310.0%1st Place
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8.15George Washington University1.325.8%1st Place
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10.88Old Dominion University0.683.5%1st Place
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.8%1st Place
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8.63University of South Florida1.445.5%1st Place
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4.27Stanford University2.6419.2%1st Place
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14.75SUNY Maritime College-0.320.9%1st Place
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10.31Tufts University0.834.0%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.4%1st Place
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9.42Fordham University1.134.7%1st Place
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12.43University of Wisconsin0.361.7%1st Place
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6.62Cornell University1.888.8%1st Place
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8.05Georgetown University1.296.8%1st Place
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11.98University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College0.784.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Megan Geith | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 19.2% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 36.7% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Brook Wood | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 9.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.