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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+0.58vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03-1.00vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.07-1.22vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.04-0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-2.25vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.27-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Tufts University3.670.5%1st Place
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2.0Brown University3.030.3%1st Place
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2.78Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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4.41Salve Regina University0.040.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
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5.49Wesleyan University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 54.8% | 34.2% | 9.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 32.0% | 40.3% | 23.8% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 11.5% | 19.3% | 51.4% | 16.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Maguire | 0.8% | 3.3% | 8.3% | 40.7% | 35.3% | 11.6% |
| Paige Brown | 0.6% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 28.9% | 39.0% | 23.8% |
| Josh Atchley | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 9.4% | 24.1% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.