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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.85+4.60vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+4.14vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73+3.06vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.01+5.04vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.87+0.53vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53-1.66vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.13+2.43vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.94-2.21vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-0.15+0.36vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University0.10-1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.52-0.09vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.55-0.95vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-1.75+2.28vs Predicted
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14Hope College-0.57-2.32vs Predicted
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15Michigan State University-0.97-2.84vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.18-2.81vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-2.68+0.38vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-1.54vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-3.07-0.84vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.41-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Eckerd College0.8511.3%1st Place
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6.14Jacksonville University0.949.2%1st Place
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6.06Christopher Newport University0.7310.7%1st Place
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9.04University of South Florida0.014.0%1st Place
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5.53Clemson University0.8711.6%1st Place
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4.34North Carolina State University1.5316.4%1st Place
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9.43The Citadel-0.133.8%1st Place
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5.79Rice University0.9410.7%1st Place
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9.36University of Texas-0.153.7%1st Place
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8.45Texas A&M University0.105.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Virginia-0.522.1%1st Place
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11.05Washington College-0.552.7%1st Place
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15.28University of North Carolina-1.750.7%1st Place
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11.68Hope College-0.571.8%1st Place
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12.16Michigan State University-0.972.1%1st Place
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13.19San Diego State University-1.181.5%1st Place
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17.38University of Central Florida-2.680.2%1st Place
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16.46Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.5%1st Place
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18.16William and Mary-3.070.1%1st Place
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13.98Arizona State University-1.411.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pj Rodrigues | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Blackwell | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Ingram | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Myrick | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 6.6% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Caden Meyers | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 24.9% | 26.6% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 22.3% | 16.1% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 21.3% | 45.1% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.