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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+1.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.57-1.00vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.61-0.88vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.48-0.53vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.15-2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-2.38vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-2.72-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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2.0Tufts University2.570.4%1st Place
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3.12Northeastern University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.47Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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3.7Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.78Wesleyan University-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 31.9% | 29.4% | 20.8% | 13.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 41.3% | 30.2% | 18.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 13.6% | 20.1% | 26.8% | 21.9% | 15.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Emma Davis | 3.7% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 20.1% | 39.0% | 18.7% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Miranda | 8.1% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 29.3% | 22.7% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 61.3% | 11.5% |
| Lara Hetzel | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 9.2% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.