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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.37+11.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.83+8.07vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+8.73vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+2.73vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32+3.38vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.88+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.44+1.86vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.64-3.92vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13+0.60vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.78-0.89vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.68-0.03vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-4.10vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.32+1.85vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-1.95vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.29-7.07vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-9.03vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.75-6.34vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.36-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.4Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University0.833.6%1st Place
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11.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.6%1st Place
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6.73Tulane University1.738.8%1st Place
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8.38George Washington University1.325.4%1st Place
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6.57Cornell University1.889.3%1st Place
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8.86University of South Florida1.444.5%1st Place
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4.08Stanford University2.6420.4%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.134.1%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College0.785.3%1st Place
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10.97Old Dominion University0.682.9%1st Place
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7.9North Carolina State University1.095.8%1st Place
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14.85SUNY Maritime College-0.321.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University1.296.0%1st Place
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6.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.8%1st Place
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10.66Roger Williams University0.753.4%1st Place
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12.13University of Wisconsin0.362.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Brook Wood | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 20.4% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Megan Geith | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 38.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 9.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.