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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.14vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.70vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.37+9.20vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.13+5.52vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.29+2.74vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.32+2.19vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.13vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.88-1.35vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+2.40vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.83+0.39vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.76-0.32vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-4.25vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.68-2.15vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.36-1.93vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.44-6.39vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-4.17vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.75-6.19vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.32-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Stanford University2.6419.7%1st Place
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6.7Tulane University1.739.6%1st Place
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12.2Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University1.134.6%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University1.297.2%1st Place
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8.19George Washington University1.325.9%1st Place
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.1%1st Place
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6.65Cornell University1.889.0%1st Place
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11.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.4%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University0.834.1%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College0.763.1%1st Place
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7.75North Carolina State University1.096.4%1st Place
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10.85Old Dominion University0.683.6%1st Place
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12.07University of Wisconsin0.362.4%1st Place
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8.61University of South Florida1.445.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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10.81Roger Williams University0.753.2%1st Place
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14.6SUNY Maritime College-0.320.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 19.7% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brook Wood | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Megan Geith | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.