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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.44+7.70vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.54vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.32+5.20vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.29+3.91vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.32+9.68vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09+1.94vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.37+5.17vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.64-3.86vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.75+1.77vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.13-0.61vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.83-0.99vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.88-5.29vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.68-2.19vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-7.16vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-3.33vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.76-5.21vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.36-4.70vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7University of South Florida1.445.2%1st Place
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6.54Tulane University1.739.8%1st Place
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8.2George Washington University1.325.7%1st Place
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7.91Georgetown University1.296.0%1st Place
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14.68SUNY Maritime College-0.320.7%1st Place
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7.94North Carolina State University1.097.0%1st Place
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12.17Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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4.14Stanford University2.6419.2%1st Place
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10.77Roger Williams University0.753.4%1st Place
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9.39Fordham University1.134.4%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University0.834.4%1st Place
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6.71Cornell University1.888.0%1st Place
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10.81Old Dominion University0.683.7%1st Place
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6.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.769.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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10.79Bowdoin College0.763.2%1st Place
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12.3University of Wisconsin0.362.3%1st Place
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11.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 37.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 19.2% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% |
| Brook Wood | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.