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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.57+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+3.60vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.61+0.11vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28-1.69vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.48-0.50vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.15-3.33vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-2.72-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Tufts University2.570.4%1st Place
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5.6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.11Northeastern University1.610.1%1st Place
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2.31Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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4.5Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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3.67Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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6.79Wesleyan University-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolfe Glover | 42.4% | 28.8% | 17.3% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 16.3% | 60.5% | 11.1% |
| Matteo Alampi | 14.0% | 20.2% | 25.6% | 24.2% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 29.8% | 30.2% | 22.8% | 13.7% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Davis | 3.7% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 38.3% | 20.3% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Miranda | 9.1% | 11.8% | 19.7% | 28.8% | 24.1% | 6.2% | 0.3% |
| Lara Hetzel | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 9.5% | 86.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.