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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+1.03vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.89+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+3.47vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.66+1.59vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.68+4.54vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.93-3.10vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.38-2.99vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.38-1.99vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-2.98vs Predicted
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11Vanderbilt University-0.03-1.31vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.98-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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3.03University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
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4.04Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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7.47University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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6.59Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.54The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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3.9University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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5.01Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.01North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.02Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.69Vanderbilt University-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.88Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 26.3% | 25.1% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 22.9% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 14.4% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Scott Adams | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 31.2% | 35.9% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| David Rogers | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| John Reddaway | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Adam Kaplon | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 25.9% | 28.4% | 13.7% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 12.3% | 27.2% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.