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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.59+6.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.41+2.74vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.77+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.27+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.11+6.49vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.72+8.68vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.38+1.09vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.48-2.07vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.39+3.66vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.81-2.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.58-1.99vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-5.71vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.06+2.07vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.94+1.16vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University0.74-6.40vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-4.65vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-2.91vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.00-3.39vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.99-1.42vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-1.44-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22San Diego State University1.597.2%1st Place
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4.74Stanford University2.4114.7%1st Place
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3.9University of Southern California2.7719.6%1st Place
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4.76University of Hawaii2.2714.8%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Santa Barbara1.859.6%1st Place
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12.49University of Oregon0.111.8%1st Place
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15.68San Diego State University-0.720.8%1st Place
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9.09University of California at San Diego1.384.2%1st Place
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9.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.7%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Los Angeles1.485.5%1st Place
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14.66Arizona State University-0.390.9%1st Place
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9.73University of Washington0.813.7%1st Place
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11.01University of California at Berkeley0.582.6%1st Place
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8.29California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.1%1st Place
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17.07California State University Channel Islands-1.060.4%1st Place
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17.16University of California at San Diego-0.940.4%1st Place
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10.6Arizona State University0.742.5%1st Place
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13.35University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.5%1st Place
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16.09University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.2%1st Place
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16.61Arizona State University-1.000.3%1st Place
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19.58University of California at San Diego-1.990.2%1st Place
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18.0California State University Channel Islands-1.440.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Buckner | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 19.6% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 9.2% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Spector | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 4.6% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 43.9% |
| Declan Dury | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.