← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida3.49+2.01vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.89+2.08vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.65-0.25vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University2.38+1.10vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.93-0.99vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University1.66+0.58vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+0.32vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University1.38-0.96vs Predicted
-
9Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-2.00vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel-0.68+0.48vs Predicted
-
11Vanderbilt University-0.03-1.28vs Predicted
-
12Rollins College-0.98-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.01University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
-
4.08Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
-
2.75College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
-
5.1Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.01University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.58Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
-
7.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
-
7.04North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
-
7.0Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
10.48The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
-
9.72Vanderbilt University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
10.92Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 24.3% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 11.7% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 28.6% | 24.2% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.0% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Cole Barney | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| David Rogers | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| John Reddaway | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Adams | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 17.9% | 30.7% | 34.0% |
| Adam Kaplon | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 26.9% | 27.8% | 14.7% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 11.2% | 28.5% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.