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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.77+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+4.92vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.41+0.61vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+3.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.38+2.38vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.81+1.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.58+1.95vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University1.59-2.84vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.72+4.85vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.74-1.49vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69+3.04vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-0.54vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon0.11-2.66vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.94+1.20vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.00-0.44vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.06-1.04vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-0.39-4.43vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.44-2.02vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.99-1.43vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-13.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96University of Hawaii2.2712.8%1st Place
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3.78University of Southern California2.7722.2%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Los Angeles1.484.7%1st Place
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4.61Stanford University2.4115.7%1st Place
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8.63California Poly Maritime Academy1.204.3%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Santa Barbara1.859.0%1st Place
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9.38University of California at San Diego1.384.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Washington0.813.6%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Berkeley0.582.4%1st Place
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7.16San Diego State University1.596.2%1st Place
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15.85San Diego State University-0.720.4%1st Place
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10.51Arizona State University0.743.1%1st Place
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16.04University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.8%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.5%1st Place
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12.34University of Oregon0.111.9%1st Place
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17.2University of California at San Diego-0.940.2%1st Place
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16.56Arizona State University-1.000.6%1st Place
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16.96California State University Channel Islands-1.060.4%1st Place
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14.57Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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17.98California State University Channel Islands-1.440.3%1st Place
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19.57University of California at San Diego-1.990.1%1st Place
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8.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 22.2% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 15.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| David Spector | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Emily Avey | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 9.0% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.2% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Declan Dury | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 17.6% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 41.9% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.