Race 3A

saisa-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jake Reynolds 27.3% 23.4% 21.0% 12.6% 8.5% 3.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tony Collins 12.5% 14.6% 15.2% 18.3% 13.8% 12.1% 7.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 23.2% 24.0% 17.9% 12.8% 12.0% 6.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 2.0% 4.1% 3.9% 5.0% 9.2% 12.3% 13.3% 18.8% 15.1% 12.1% 3.7% 0.5%
Matthew Hecht 14.0% 13.8% 15.2% 16.9% 14.7% 11.2% 7.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Edwin Strong 4.0% 3.5% 5.9% 8.9% 7.9% 13.3% 16.0% 16.4% 14.7% 6.5% 2.8% 0.1%
Scott Adams 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 1.4% 2.0% 2.7% 3.6% 6.9% 17.8% 31.2% 31.9%
Daniel Lawless 9.3% 8.7% 10.4% 13.7% 13.8% 15.6% 12.0% 9.4% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Cole Barney 2.5% 2.3% 3.5% 5.0% 8.1% 9.5% 16.0% 15.8% 21.1% 12.2% 3.8% 0.2%
David Rogers 3.0% 3.8% 4.9% 4.9% 8.4% 10.7% 14.1% 15.4% 19.8% 10.4% 3.4% 1.2%
Adam Kaplon 1.1% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 2.8% 4.1% 7.6% 10.5% 27.1% 27.7% 15.3%
Mitchell Wilkins 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 3.2% 3.6% 10.4% 26.7% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.