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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+2.04vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.65+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93+1.02vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.89+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+2.43vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.66+0.59vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.03vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38-0.93vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.38-4.00vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University-0.03-0.43vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.68-0.45vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.98-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
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2.73College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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4.02University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.07Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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7.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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6.59Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.03Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.07North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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5.0Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.57Vanderbilt University-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.55The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.9Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 23.2% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 29.1% | 23.9% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 15.0% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 11.7% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| John Reddaway | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| David Rogers | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Kaplon | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 26.5% | 25.8% | 13.3% |
| Scott Adams | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 16.5% | 32.2% | 34.9% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 11.2% | 26.9% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.