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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.41+3.59vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.27+2.93vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.77+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+2.00vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University1.59+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.81+3.87vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11+5.35vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+0.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+4.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.38-0.65vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.48-3.25vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69+4.04vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.74-2.48vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.58-3.06vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.94+1.01vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.06+0.14vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.39-3.37vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.00-2.45vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.44-1.87vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.99-1.45vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-0.72-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Stanford University2.4116.2%1st Place
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4.93University of Hawaii2.2713.8%1st Place
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4.0University of Southern California2.7718.4%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.859.8%1st Place
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7.14San Diego State University1.597.3%1st Place
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9.87University of Washington0.812.7%1st Place
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12.35University of Oregon0.111.5%1st Place
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8.5California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.1%1st Place
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13.22University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.6%1st Place
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9.35University of California at San Diego1.383.4%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Los Angeles1.485.8%1st Place
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16.04University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.9%1st Place
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10.52Arizona State University0.742.8%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Berkeley0.582.7%1st Place
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8.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.9%1st Place
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17.01University of California at San Diego-0.940.9%1st Place
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17.14California State University Channel Islands-1.060.4%1st Place
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14.63Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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16.55Arizona State University-1.000.7%1st Place
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18.13California State University Channel Islands-1.440.1%1st Place
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19.55University of California at San Diego-1.990.2%1st Place
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15.84San Diego State University-0.720.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 16.2% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 18.4% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 10.3% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 9.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 6.6% |
| Declan Dury | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 43.6% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.