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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+5.10vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.59+5.10vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+1.96vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+4.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38+4.36vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.41-1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.77-3.10vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.81+1.80vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+3.97vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.72+5.71vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.58-0.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.48-4.12vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-4.14vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon0.11-1.45vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.74-4.45vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.39-1.29vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-0.91vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.06-0.93vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.94-2.06vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.00-3.48vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.44-2.82vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.99-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.859.4%1st Place
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7.1San Diego State University1.597.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Hawaii2.2714.0%1st Place
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8.55California Poly Maritime Academy1.204.0%1st Place
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9.36University of California at San Diego1.383.6%1st Place
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4.71Stanford University2.4115.4%1st Place
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3.9University of Southern California2.7718.9%1st Place
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9.8University of Washington0.813.7%1st Place
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12.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.8%1st Place
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15.71San Diego State University-0.720.8%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Berkeley0.582.6%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Los Angeles1.486.0%1st Place
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8.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.1%1st Place
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12.55University of Oregon0.111.1%1st Place
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10.55Arizona State University0.743.5%1st Place
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14.71Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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16.09University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.2%1st Place
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17.07California State University Channel Islands-1.060.3%1st Place
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16.94University of California at San Diego-0.940.5%1st Place
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16.52Arizona State University-1.000.5%1st Place
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18.18California State University Channel Islands-1.440.2%1st Place
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19.51University of California at San Diego-1.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Kraak | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 18.9% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Spector | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 8.9% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| Declan Dury | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 19.4% | 17.6% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.