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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+5.42vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.930.00vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49-1.96vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.05vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.38+0.05vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.38-2.99vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.66-2.53vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.68+0.49vs Predicted
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11Vanderbilt University-0.03-1.29vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.98-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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7.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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2.72College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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4.0University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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3.04University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
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7.05Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.05North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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5.01Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.47Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.49The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.71Vanderbilt University-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.9Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 12.5% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 28.2% | 23.5% | 20.4% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.6% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 24.0% | 23.9% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| David Rogers | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 9.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Adams | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 16.3% | 31.2% | 34.2% |
| Adam Kaplon | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 27.4% | 27.7% | 14.7% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 11.6% | 27.4% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.