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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+3.84vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.41+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.77+1.06vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+4.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+1.20vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.72+9.67vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+5.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.38+0.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.48-2.20vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University1.59-3.91vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.00+4.73vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.81-3.38vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.58-3.05vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.74-4.40vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon0.11-3.52vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.06+0.08vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-2.00vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.94-1.78vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-0.39-5.26vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.99-1.48vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-1.44-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84University of Hawaii2.2713.8%1st Place
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4.6Stanford University2.4114.8%1st Place
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4.06University of Southern California2.7718.3%1st Place
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8.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.2%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.859.4%1st Place
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15.67San Diego State University-0.720.4%1st Place
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8.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.8%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.1%1st Place
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9.31University of California at San Diego1.384.5%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Los Angeles1.486.6%1st Place
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7.09San Diego State University1.596.5%1st Place
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16.73Arizona State University-1.000.4%1st Place
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9.62University of Washington0.813.5%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Berkeley0.582.8%1st Place
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10.6Arizona State University0.742.7%1st Place
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12.48University of Oregon0.111.9%1st Place
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17.08California State University Channel Islands-1.060.5%1st Place
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16.0University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.9%1st Place
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17.22University of California at San Diego-0.940.6%1st Place
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14.74Arizona State University-0.390.8%1st Place
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19.52University of California at San Diego-1.990.2%1st Place
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18.06California State University Channel Islands-1.440.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 18.3% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.2% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 9.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 42.4% |
| Declan Dury | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.