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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+1.73vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.89+2.09vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+4.14vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+3.40vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49-1.97vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University-0.03+3.64vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.66-0.57vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.68+2.50vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.38-4.03vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.98+0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.93-6.93vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.38-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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4.09Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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7.14Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.4University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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3.03University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
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9.64Vanderbilt University-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.43Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.5The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.97Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.83Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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7.17North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 29.5% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 11.2% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Cole Barney | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 25.7% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Kaplon | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 27.4% | 25.3% | 15.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Adams | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 17.1% | 31.7% | 33.4% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 10.8% | 26.5% | 48.8% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.3% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.