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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+3.22vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.01+7.05vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.87+2.69vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+2.11vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73+0.94vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.13+3.45vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.85-1.33vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.94-2.26vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.10-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-0.15-0.62vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.55-0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-0.52-1.37vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.18+0.18vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-1.75+0.98vs Predicted
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15Michigan State University-0.97-2.61vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.57-3.95vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-2.68+0.34vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-1.28vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-3.07-0.86vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.41-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22North Carolina State University1.5317.8%1st Place
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9.05University of South Florida0.014.7%1st Place
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5.69Clemson University0.8711.8%1st Place
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6.11Jacksonville University0.948.9%1st Place
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5.94Christopher Newport University0.7310.4%1st Place
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9.45The Citadel-0.134.3%1st Place
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5.67Eckerd College0.859.9%1st Place
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5.74Rice University0.9410.5%1st Place
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8.52Texas A&M University0.105.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Texas-0.154.0%1st Place
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10.86Washington College-0.552.6%1st Place
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10.63University of Virginia-0.522.6%1st Place
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13.18San Diego State University-1.181.5%1st Place
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14.98University of North Carolina-1.751.0%1st Place
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12.39Michigan State University-0.971.6%1st Place
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12.05Hope College-0.571.7%1st Place
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17.34University of Central Florida-2.680.2%1st Place
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16.72Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.2%1st Place
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18.14William and Mary-3.070.2%1st Place
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13.94Arizona State University-1.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 17.8% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Blackwell | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ingram | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Myrick | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 5.8% |
| Caden Meyers | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 26.5% | 27.3% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 21.8% | 16.4% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 45.5% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.