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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+3.08vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.66+4.55vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.490.00vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65-1.31vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.93-2.02vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.38-2.03vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.68+2.49vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.38-1.95vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University-0.03-0.42vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-3.45vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.98-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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6.55Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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3.0University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
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2.69College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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7.13Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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3.98University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.97Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.49The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.05North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.58Vanderbilt University-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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10.92Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 13.6% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 24.5% | 20.2% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 28.1% | 26.7% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.7% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Adams | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 32.0% | 33.8% |
| David Rogers | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Adam Kaplon | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 27.7% | 26.0% | 13.0% |
| Cole Barney | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 26.3% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.